The month of September ushered in some volatility to the stock market. The type of volatility we had not seen in quite a while.
Perhaps it will continue into October. And perhaps there is a reason.
Today, we take a look at a long-term monthly view of the S&P 500 Index.
As you can see, the S&P 500 has been in an up-trend for more than a decade. And this August, the index closed the month at its 423.6% Fibonacci extension level at (1). That closing also coincided with the underside of 11-year resistance.
The last time the S&P 500 hit a key Fibonacci extension level (161.8%), it also was testing the underside of this very same resistance. And it lead to a two-year pullback/stakeout.
The 423.6% Fib test in August was followed with a large bearish monthly candle in September at (2). Follow-through selling in October wouldn’t be a good sign.
Is this the wrong place and wrong time for this pattern in the S&P 500? Stay tuned.